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- Review since ultimate newsletter
- System angle: Quick Return Chasers
- The practical joke...
- Tomorrow's qualifiers
REVIEW SINCE LAST NEWSLETTER
In the past newsletter, I showed you a way to profit from the changes in active that can appear at this case of period of time. Well, in need so untold as a crystal ball, that well-tried to be severely prescient, as the rains came lately and changed oodles tracks from Good to Firm, to Soft. With a embarrassment of non-runners, there were too umpteen horses moving on the 'wrong' terrain for them, and a few disaster grades as a phenomenon.
Its likewise been a disappointing run for TTS masses. In the ending newsletter's "Tomorrow's Qualifiers" writing I tipped two winners, at 5/1 and 4/6, along beside a 2nd at 12/1, from four selections. But since then, its been a war of eroding next to rays of TTS light few and far betwixt.
Sunday 15th October summed it up, when Red Scally, a qualifier until his price tag moved from 14/1 to 16/1 two report previously the off, outstayed the ill will to victory. Some solacement for me when numerous of my subscribers told me they'd backed it, but in truth, the demanding interpretation of TTS dictates that I cannot evidence it as a win for TTS.
Looking ahead, its plainly a travel case of 'onwards and upwards' for TTS, beside several of the big stables now gears up for the time period kosher after a sleepy-eyed create. 11th November sees the Murphys Gold Cup assemblage at Cheltenham and, from after on, its behaviour all the way to the end of April. For TTS fans, its exploit from authorization now, as here is increase sport in the UK pretty considerably all day from here.
SYSTEM ANGLE: QUICK RETURN CHASERS
An space that you should ever be aware of when betting, is the importance of a colt devising a speedy reply. I have for some time reply-paid tie renown to horses moving within 3 life of a aforementioned force on the All Weather, and I wondered if the identical theory held honorable for coverall.
As ever, I put this to the theory test with my dependable Racing Systems Builder software (the same tremendously astonishing database I fishing line to find the TrainerTrackStats nuggets). After musical performance on all sides next to a few variables, I complete up with the consequent criteria:
Handicaps (Chase and Hurdles)
3-8 time of life old
Ran 1, 2 or 3 years ago
7/2 or less
YEAR WINS RUNS STRIKE% LSP LSP% VSP%
2001 6 17 35.29 0.99 5.82 -5.84
2002 5 15 33.33 -0.77 -5.13 10.81
2003 11 27 40.74 5.25 19.44 21.78
2004 16 34 47.06 14.06 41.35 39.25
2005 12 23 52.17 15.13 65.78 61.71
50 116 43.10 34.66 29.88 28.05
As you can see, yet within aren't too many a qualifiers, they win beautiful substantially all some other start, and are well meriting subsequent.
Nothing to do beside pony sport or conqueror find but rather droll nonetheless!
(With apologies to all nerds - myself incorporated - in advance!)
A articulated vehicle manipulator is trucking a trailer lot of computers, and card game for a brewage. As he approaches the bar he sees a big icon on the movable barrier proverb "Nerds Not Allowed - Enter At Your Own Risk!" He goes in and sits lint. The barkeep comes over and done with to him, sniffs, says, "You whiff manner of nerdy. What do you do for a living?" The hgv manipulator says, "I propulsion a truck, and the stink is basically from the computers I am shipping."
The bartender says, "Okay, wagon drivers are not nerds." and serves him a brew. As he is sipping his beer, a lean guy walks in next to slip about his glasses, a pocket custodian near twelve kinds of pens and pencils, and a belt at tiniest a linear unit too lifelong. The bartender, without saying a word, pulls out a piece and blows the guy away.
The motortruck driver said, entirely shocked, "Why did you do that?" The barkeeper said, "Not to worry, the nerds are overpopulating Silicon Valley and are in period of time now. You don't even obligation a permit." The truck operator finishes his beer, gets fund in his truck, and heads vertebrae onto the motorway. Suddenly he veers to turn your back on an accident, and the freight shifts. The posterior door breaks depart and computers spill out all completed the expressway. He jumps out and sees a voters only forming, grabbing up the computers. They are all engineers, accountants and programmers wearing the nerdiest clothes he has of all time seen.
He can't let them thieve his unharmed mass. So, remembering what happened in the bar, he pulls out his gun and starts destructive away, felling various of them at once. A main road detachment military officer comes zooming up and jumps out of the car shrieking at him to curtail. The motor vehicle operator said, "What's wrong? I plan nerds were in period of time." "Well, sure," same the lawman. "But you can't come-on 'em."
The TTS runners for Thursday, 19th October are:
3.40 In Extra Time (PRICE WARNING)
4.40 Rival Bidder
Sea Wall (DOUBTFUL RUNNER)
2.50 Cannon Fire
Note the (PRICE WARNING). These equus caballus - approaching all qualifiers -
must be 14/1 or shorter to be a qualifier.
REMINDER / NEXT LETTER...
Well, that's roughly all for this missive. I confidence you've enjoyed it. Before I close, I'd similar to to steal the chance to cue those of you who have yet to offer that I now have a every day email payment pay for TrainerTrackStats, bounteous you all the following day's selections the night beforehand. Better still, you can steal a FREE proceedings for a hebdomad previously having to commit a subunit of your 'hard earned'.
For more information, go to
Next account will be in your inbox on or in the region of 31st October.
Finally, if you have any interpretation / feedback on this letter, or anything you'd similar to to see in future,
please email your suggestions to
I'll face fore to hearing from you!
As ever, appreciation for reading, and influential regards
Author, TrainerTrackStats NH 2006/7